Re: Adios McCrystal
InTrade gives 70% chance of McChrystal being dumped. I'd take those odds, if I had money and registering for it wasn't such a complete hassle (and, from the impression I got, borderline illegal). I still think Obama views McChrystal as too valuable to the war in Afghanistan and so ultimately his presidency, and is too willing to forgive and forget, to accept the letter of resignation. I'm only like 60% sure now though, compared to maybe 80% confidence earlier today.
edit- Oh, I should add that 70% looks to be a starting price, not set by the market yet.