Originally Posted by miceelf
If JimH is smart, he won't commit to only one of those options. I'd add that the above doesn't exhaust the possibilities. One can easily imagine, without a major third party candidate, someone winning the electoral college, AND the popular vote by something like 49 - 47, with the remaining 3% devoted to a wide variety of marginal characters.
Ah, but the scenario you paint would be little different from Clinton's victory in 1992, though the margins are tighter. Ross Perot won something like 12% of the popular vote, didn't take a single state, and handed the presidency to Slick Willie. Ol' Ross was the epitome of a marginal character if ever there was one. Hard to believe anyone took him seriously.
And smart or not, I'm going to make a prediction on the presidential election: Obama's going to beat Romney in a squeaker; the economy will perk up just enough for him to claim progress, and Romney's lack of charisma and protean -- Man, I love that word! -- character will do the rest.
No We (Republicans) Can't!