And smart or not, I'm going to make a prediction on the presidential election: Obama's going to beat Romney in a squeaker; the economy will perk up just enough for him to claim progress, and Romney's lack of charisma and protean -- Man, I love that word! -- character will do the rest.
Agree on the prediction. Though it may end up being less close than many thing. I think there's a good chance that alot of the voters that pollsters assume will stay home (young, minority etc.) may surprise us with strong turnout again.
I truly hope that whether based on an Obama victory, or disappointment in the GOP candidates, that the larger GOP will finally get back to some form of sanity and realize that "refuse to govern" is no way to govern. And that perhaps it's time to stop consistently bowing to the most noxious elements of it's base.