After the 2006 sweep
Originally Posted by TwinSwords
Yes. It's quite interesting. With the passage of Health Care Reform, the entire narrative now changes. Everything people expected to happen in November now has to be reconsidered. We'll probably still lose seats, but the Democrats almost certainly dodged a bullet by not letting down their base and by invalidating a year's worth of wingnut / media CW about Obama's "failure" and Democratic incompetence. It's a stunning reversal that will have enormous impact.
It's true. I remember back in 2006, when the Democrats clobbered the field (not a single Republican flip in any House, Senate, or gubernatorial race!) and took Congress, it was only a day or two later every tv network finally started using the term "civil war" when talking about Iraq. It was that blatant. We're seeing that effect again. Instead of "death panels" all the time it's "Oh, hey, what's in the law now? Good stuff! Ending pre-existing conditions! No more recission!" and "Obama and Pelosi triumph!"
My hope is that Obama & crew will come up with an issue thats both 1) good for America and 2) something that a tea partier should like. I think cracking down on the banksters would fit that bill. I know, the wingnuts will call that socialism, but you'll peel off some of that populist rage with a good populist bill. Even better, it's a fight you can afford to lose. Let the Republicans kill it and then campaign against Republican support for the banksters.
Mark Kleiman thinks the wedge issue is here already
: voting against the HCR patch means voting FOR the dreaded "cornhusker kickback." And if they vote for the patch, that meant they voted against HCR before they voted for it. It's a pickle. Couldn't happen to a nicer bunch.