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Search: Posts Made By: Parallax
Forum: Diavlog comments 12-15-2011, 01:17 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Reality vs McArdle V

Bond yields for US treasuries:

10 year: 1.88
10 year (inflation adjusted): -0.07
Forum: Diavlog comments 11-23-2011, 05:06 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Reality vs McArdle IV

The price of US debt is going up: right now the 10 & 30 year treasury yields are 1.91% and 2.87%.
Forum: Diavlog comments 11-21-2011, 07:14 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Reality vs McArdle IV

Today the 10 & 30 year treasury yields were 1.96% and 2.94% respectively.
Forum: Diavlog comments 11-01-2011, 10:30 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Reality vs McArdle III

I don't get your point.
Forum: Diavlog comments 11-01-2011, 02:39 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Reality vs McArdle III

As I am writing this now the 10 year treasury yield is 2.04% and the 30 year is 3.06%.

Right before the recession on Nov 1st 2007 those numbers were 4.36% and 4.64% respectively.

And if Greece...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-22-2011, 07:46 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Reality vs McArdle II

You are welcome. In fact right now it has gone down to 1.77%.

We are headed for big losses today and Friday I think. Beside the stock market commodities are down too: WTI crude is down more than...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-22-2011, 12:30 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Reality vs McArdle II

Wednesday Sep. 21st: the 10-year treasury yield is 1.81%.
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-10-2011, 02:36 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Reality vs McArdle

On Friday the 10-year treasury yield closed on 1.92%.
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-09-2011, 04:57 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

The real problem is household balance sheets. House prices are falling and since people owe a great deal to their bank on their house this hurts, a lot. So the solution is to make the overall debt...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-09-2011, 04:55 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

The real problem is household balance sheets. House prices are falling and since people owe a great deal to their bank on their house this hurts, a lot. So the solution is to make the overall debt...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-09-2011, 04:47 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

The real problem is household balance sheets. House prices are falling and since people owe a great deal to their bank on their house this hurts, a lot. So the solution is to make the overall debt...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-09-2011, 04:37 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

We are discussing policy here, right? Policy does not get better with humility. That might be a factor in selling it but not in it effectiveness. Furthermore this whole thread we have been talking...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-09-2011, 03:57 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

OK this is an academic discussion better left to economists. And as far as I know a majority of them are happy with either core or median CPI. If the consensus changes then we can talk, but as long...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-06-2011, 01:46 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

CPI is not a number central bankers pull out of their behind. It is based on things people actually buy. Why do you think we have CPI less food and energy?? Because the good old CPI has food and...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-06-2011, 01:34 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

I am not a lefty and the policy I am arguing for is not a leftist one. But these facts aside do you realize how weak your argument is?

Lets say we have a child who has an infection, we give him...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-06-2011, 01:21 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

What is fairly critical? Low stable inflation since Volcker tamed it was called the great moderation. People wrote thesis on this subject.

Speaking of gold if you adjust for inflation it is...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-05-2011, 03:07 AM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

Actually I use Median CPI as inflation measure. But do you have a better gauge of inflation? As long as there isn't any that point is moot.

I am not Paul Krugman (although I would fancy a nobel...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-02-2011, 04:15 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

The journalism problem is not that she opposes 6% inflation, the journalism problem is that he discredits Rogoff for personal ideological biases.



That is the puritanical spirit!

First of...
Forum: Diavlog comments 09-01-2011, 09:40 PM
Replies: 104
Views: 16,901
Posted By Parallax
Re: Booze and Money (Tim Fernholz & Megan McArdle)

Megan's statement that the current Fed inaction is anything but politics is disingenuous and (even worse) utterly unconvincing.

Richard Fisher who was one of the 3 dissenters in the last FOMC...
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