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nikkibong 11-07-2009 06:33 PM

Go Nancy, Go!
 
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091107/..._care_overhaul

Today's the day!

JonIrenicus 11-07-2009 10:20 PM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nikkibong (Post 136740)



Call me after the senate is done.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 12:08 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Jim Newell has some comical coverage of the day in the House here, here, here, and here.

claymisher 11-08-2009 12:21 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136801)
Jim Newell has some comical coverage of the day in the House here, here, here, and here.

I turned msnbc on to see Ezra Klein. Cool to see him on tv. Then they cut to Luke Russert. Sheesh.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 12:26 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136805)
I turned msnbc on to see Ezra Klein. Cool to see him on tv. Then they cut to Luke Russert. Sheesh.

For some reason, every time I hear "Luke Russert," I think "Luke Walton," who is actually not a terrible basketball player, even by NBA standards.

I have never seen Luke Russert. How bad is he? Worse than about nine hundred other people on the teevee that I could name?

claymisher 11-08-2009 12:26 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136801)
Jim Newell has some comical coverage of the day in the House here, here, here, and here.

Mike Pence is well-known to be a complete idiot:

Quote:

Specifically, way back in 2005 I got to talk to him about Social Security privatization at a Heritage Foundation event. Obviously, I have my perspective on this and conservatives have theirs. But Pence had a truly peculiar idea. His idea was that the government ought to reassure people about the risks of losses under a privatization plan by having the government guarantee a minimum annuity level pegged to what’s promised under current law. This plan would, according to Pence, save money relative to current law because most people’s stock/bond portfolio would outperform the level needed to provide such an annuity, so the government would only need to kick in for a minority of people. I said I thought this would create a moral hazard problem for bad investors. He had no idea what I was talking about. Seemed unfamiliar with the term. Then I tried to explain it to him, I said that if the government guaranteed to bail you out in case of losses, then investors would make riskier investments and the number of people who need bailing out would rise. He just flat-out denied this, said the presence or absence of a guaranteed bailout would have no impact on investor behavior. He seemed unaware that some portfolios are riskier than others, or that higher average rates of return are associated with greater risk taking. He didn’t know anything at all, in short, about investing, financial markets, or, seemingly, the basic terms of public policy. And yet there he was speaking on the topic at Heritage. He’s a total fraud.
http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/ar...ke_pence_2.php

claymisher 11-08-2009 12:27 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136806)
For some reason, every time I hear "Luke Russert," I think "Luke Walton," who is actually not a terrible basketball player, even by NBA standards.

I have never seen Luke Russert. How bad is he? Worse than about nine hundred other people on the teevee that I could name?

Painful. He's terrible on tv, like, cable access-level bad, but you just feel sorry for him 'cos his dad died suddenly. :(

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 12:28 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136807)
Mike Pence is well-known to be a complete idiot:



http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/ar...ke_pence_2.php

That is a classic post. Yglesias deserves permanent recognition for that one.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 12:30 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136808)
Painful. He's terrible on tv, like, cable access-level bad, but you just feel sorry for him 'cos his dad died suddenly. :(

How much longer does he get that pass?

Wonderment 11-08-2009 12:32 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Call me after the senate is done.

Good point, but still, this is a huge and well-deserved victory for Obama.

The closeness of the vote vindicates his approach, I believe. Squeezing anything more than a mild version of public option out of the House was just not doable. The President got the most he could get. Kudos to him and Pelosi.

Wonderment 11-08-2009 12:38 AM

Profile in Courage!
 
Quote:

Only one Republican, Representative Anh Cao of Louisiana, voted for the bill...
Cao is the first and only Vietnamese-American in Congress.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 12:56 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136801)
Jim Newell has some comical coverage of the day in the House here, here, here, and here.

And he just added another post, to report the vote. Bonus: There is a graphic of (how the wingnuts see) Nancy Pelosi that is to die for.

claymisher 11-08-2009 01:00 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Wonderment (Post 136811)
Good point, but still, this is a huge and well-deserved victory for Obama.

The closeness of the vote vindicates his approach, I believe. Squeezing anything more than a mild version of public option out of the House was just not doable. The President got the most he could get. Kudos to him and Pelosi.

Wonderment, Obama is a gutless centrist afraid of rocking the boat. Wait a second, I think I got our parts reversed!

This is definitely cause for celebration. What I don't understand is the 30+ Dems who voted against it. Do they it's going to make them any safer? The wingnuts are still gunning for them. Might as well take credit for doing a good thing if you're going to be attacked for it anyway.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 01:07 AM

Re: Profile in Courage!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Wonderment (Post 136812)
Cao is the first and only Vietnamese-American in Congress.

The twittering wingnuts are out for blood.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 01:08 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136818)
Wonderment, Obama is a gutless centrist afraid of rocking the boat. Wait a second, I think I got our parts reversed!

LOL!

Quote:

This is definitely cause for celebration. What I don't understand is the 30+ Dems who voted against it. Do they it's going to make them any safer? The wingnuts are still gunning for them. Might as well take credit for doing a good thing if you're going to be attacked for it anyway.
Agreed. I don't understand why they can't grasp this.

(I think big money has a lot to do with it, though, especially on HCR. Some politicians are honest -- they stay bought.)

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 01:16 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Very nice celebratory post from DougJ.

I loved Rufus back in the day.

claymisher 11-08-2009 01:40 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Republicans shouting down pro-choice Congresswomen today:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eMdlcnK_MI4

They're going to pay for this, right? I don't know where these guys are from but I doubt their constituents are proud of that kind of behavior.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 01:55 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136834)
Republicans shouting down pro-choice Congresswomen today:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eMdlcnK_MI4

They're going to pay for this, right? I don't know where these guys are from but I don't their constituents are proud of that kind of behavior.

Wow.

Well, the wingnuts love that kind of behavior (cf. Joe "You Lie!!!1!" Wilson and the teabaggers disrupting the town hall meetings). But I do hope enough Republican sympathizers will realize that they're not wingnuts.

Wonderment 11-08-2009 03:04 AM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Wonderment, Obama is a gutless centrist afraid of rocking the boat.
I've never accused him of being gutless. Just accommodating.

When he wins a close one like this, however, he sure looks like the consummate political genius.

So he gets a big high-five from me.

Even though the bill is still a long way from being law, and even though Senators owned by the insurance lobby are still likely to ruin it, today was a very good day for the domestic progressive agenda.

Lyle 11-08-2009 08:57 AM

He Had No Choice
 
Cao, like Bobby Jindal, probably supports health care reform. So perhaps he voted his actual conscience, but he is a Representative to a overwhelmingly Democrat district and would have no chance at re-election if he voted against it.

And the Republicans will continue to support him because he's Vietnamese. So he can pretty much vote however he wants to all the time and to hold on to his district he's going to have to vote like a Democrat most of the time.

So like Progressives who love to get on Blue Dog Democrats for not voting progressive enough, I imagine Cao will catch some flack from some incompetents on the Right.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 04:09 PM

Re: He Had No Choice
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lyle (Post 136873)
Cao ... is a Representative to a overwhelmingly Democrat district and would have no chance at re-election if he voted against it.

Yes, that does seem to be the calm, cool, and collected consensus of Greater Wingnuttia. (Fine example here, more from the same guy here, much more here.)

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 04:53 PM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136822)
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136818)
[...] What I don't understand is the 30+ Dems who voted against it. Do they it's going to make them any safer? The wingnuts are still gunning for them. Might as well take credit for doing a good thing if you're going to be attacked for it anyway.

Agreed. I don't understand why they can't grasp this.

(I think big money has a lot to do with it, though, especially on HCR. Some politicians are honest -- they stay bought.)

I was wondering last night whether any of the Dems voted against it because of more principled reasons. Turns out this is true for at least one: Dennis Kucinich.

nikkibong 11-08-2009 04:54 PM

devils in blue dresses
 
39 "blue dogs" voted NO. Shameful.

What's the point of their existence? I would shed no tears if every "blue dog" democrat lost his seat to a rabid republican in 2010. As long as progressive legislation can be passed without their help, they are merely extraneous.

In fact, I would argue that their presence is a net-negative: it forces conservative "compromises" between "blue dogs" and progressives. Thus, a barebones majority of true progressives is probably a better situation than in this large "big-tent" majority.

Eff the blue dogs...

and good job, Madame Speaker!

EDIT: Just saw bjkeefe's post upthread, so I hereby stipulate:

38 blue dogs voted no and one, um, "red" dog also voted no. Good for him: he at least had the courage of his convictions.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 05:14 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nikkibong (Post 136946)
39 "blue dogs" voted NO. Shameful.

[...]

EDIT: Just saw bjkeefe's post upthread, so I hereby stipulate:

38 blue dogs voted no and one, um, "red" dog also voted no. Good for him: he at least had the courage of his convictions.

Thanks.

Here's another view of the hall of shame, from Scott Lemieux:

Quote:

For your convenience. Included are 26 Democrats now on the record as opposing expanded access to health care but who want to make sure that if health care passes despite them it should discriminate against women.
About the numbers: Scott's link points you to a list of "64 Democrats on the Wrong Side of Stupak-Pitts," which notes in closing "the list of 26 Democrats who voted 'Aye' on Stupak but 'Nay' on the final bill."

Also, in case I haven't passed this link along already, more on Stupak. (Pun intended.)

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 05:48 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136947)
Also, in case I haven't passed this link along already, more on Stupak. (Pun intended.)

Marcy Wheeler on Bart Stupak (via):

Quote:

As you read Bart Stupak boasting of taking reproductive choice away from women, remember that he’s not just an otherwise good Democrat (he’s not, in fact, a Blue Dog) ...

[..]

Viewed through the lens of Stupak’s C Street membership, this victory lap (and all the others he has been doing) comes off as what it is: a naked grab for power through hypocritical moralizing.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 06:50 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136953)

Related: Ann Friedman (via Adam Serwer):

Quote:

It's pretty cramped underneath this bus, what with 50 percent of Americans down here.

TwinSwords 11-08-2009 09:56 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nikkibong (Post 136946)
39 "blue dogs" voted NO. Shameful.

One of the advantages of having a large majority is that we don't need every last member to vote for a bill to pass it. I don't know about the particulars of this vote, but it is often the case that the House Leadership will allow members in difficult districts to vote differently from the majority. If these tactics help the Democrats keep those seats in 2010, and the bill passes anyway, it's smart politics. I would not assume that there isn't some strategic reasoning behind some of those 39 votes.

bjkeefe 11-08-2009 10:54 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TwinSwords (Post 136969)
One of the advantages of having a large majority is that we don't need every last member to vote for a bill to pass it. I don't know about the particulars of this vote, but it is often the case that the House Leadership will allow members in difficult districts to vote differently from the majority. If these tactics help the Democrats keep those seats in 2010, and the bill passes anyway, it's smart politics. I would not assume that there isn't some strategic reasoning behind some of those 39 votes.

That's of course true to some degree, but it is also undoubtedly true that some of these ConservaDems did their level best to water down the bill while it was being crafted, and then ended up voting against it anyway. So, while I am not entirely opposed to the notion of letting some members slide on some issues, because the Republican alternative would be worse, there does get to be a point where DINOs are more counterproductive than they're worth. I'd be willing to have a Republican rather than an Evan Bayh or Max Baucus or Mary Landrieu -- and certainly a Bart Stupak -- because I think it would make many other regions realize that they really do want actual Democrats to represent them.

==========

[Added] Also, what clay said. You get hung as high for a sheep as a goat, as the old saying goes.

I'd be willing to bet some of these House Dems who voted against HCR will nonetheless be attacked next election by their Republican and conservative opponents for being part of what enabled "Obamacare."

claymisher 11-08-2009 10:55 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TwinSwords (Post 136969)
One of the advantages of having a large majority is that we don't need every last member to vote for a bill to pass it. I don't know about the particulars of this vote, but it is often the case that the House Leadership will allow members in difficult districts to vote differently from the majority. If these tactics help the Democrats keep those seats in 2010, and the bill passes anyway, it's smart politics. I would not assume that there isn't some strategic reasoning behind some of those 39 votes.

I think the blue dogs have it all wrong. You think voting for the Iraq war auth helped Max Cleland? The Republicans are gunning for these fuckers no matter how they vote. They might has well do the right thing for a change.

I guess this is what Obama told the House D's on Saturday. I say fuck 'em. Let them lose in 2010.

TwinSwords 11-08-2009 11:47 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136993)
That's of course true to some degree, but it is also undoubtedly true that some of these ConservaDems did their level best to water down the bill while it was being crafted

Undoubtedly. I'll note I (a) didn't deny they did, and (b) said that I didn't know anything about the particulars of these 39 votes. I was simply saying that sometimes caucuses protect their members by letting them vote the way their districts or states would want them to, in order to protect their seats. When you have a large majority and don't need every vote in your caucus to pass legislation, there's no reason not to practice smart politics.

Again, take me at my word when I say that I'm not commenting on the 39 votes at issue with this particular vote.



Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136993)
I'd be willing to bet some of these House Dems who voted against HCR will nonetheless be attacked next election by their Republican and conservative opponents for being part of what enabled "Obamacare."

Of course. That's beyond obvious. But it's also not the most relevant consideration; what's more relevant is what voters do, not what their republican challengers do. There may be some voters who will vote for their Congressperson next year because they didn't vote for HCR. Again, this is fact-free speculation as I don't know the particulars of these 39 Representatives, but it's obviously possible, unless you discount entirely the notion that voters respond to the actual votes of their representatives, and not just to what their Republican challengers say about them.

TwinSwords 11-08-2009 11:54 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 136994)
I think the blue dogs have it all wrong. You think voting for the Iraq war auth helped Max Cleland? The Republicans are gunning for these fuckers no matter how they vote. They might has well do the right thing for a change.

I guess this is what Obama told the House D's on Saturday. I say fuck 'em. Let them lose in 2010.

Just so you know, I'm not expressing ideological solidarity with the Blue Dogs. I've probably lambasted them more than anyone else around here. Check out the Specter thread for starters, when I complained bitterly that adding a conservative Republican to the Democratic Party wasn't my idea of a victory.

I'm just making the non-controversial and wholly obvious point that sometimes caucuses with large majorities can let the members in more marginal districts vote in ways that are less likely to cost them their seats. Just plain obvious.

Obama is definitely correct that the R's are going to go after them no matter what. I was actually quite pleased to hear Obama say it, because it suggests that he knows it's true of him, too. Until now I had wondered if he realized that they were out for blood and would relent at nothing. His message to the Dem Reps proves he understands this.

Still, what the Republican opponents do is different from what voters do. There may be (speculation alert) some voters in some of those 39 districts who vote for the D over the R because of their vote on HCR.

bjkeefe 11-09-2009 12:16 AM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TwinSwords (Post 137013)
[...]

Points taken, and I know you're not forgiving the ConservaDems for their vote on this bill. Just wanted to register a little disagreement for the record.

bjkeefe 11-09-2009 04:43 AM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TwinSwords (Post 136969)
I would not assume that there isn't some strategic reasoning behind some of those 39 votes.

Some data from the NYT (emph. added):

Quote:

Lawmakers in the House voted 220 to 215 on Saturday night to approve a sweeping overhaul of the nation’s health care system. Only one Republican voted for the bill, and 39 Democrats opposed it, including 24 members of the fiscally conservative Blue Dog Coalition. An overwhelming majority of the Democratic lawmakers who opposed the bill — 31 of the 39 — represent districts that were won by Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona, in the 2008 presidential election, and a third of them were freshmen. Nearly all of the fourteen freshmen Democrats who voted “no” represent districts that were previously Republican and are considered vulnerable in 2010. Geographically, 22 lawmakers from southern states formed the largest opposition bloc. Below are details on the Democrats that opposed the health care legislation in the House.
(Whereupon a big ol' table follows.)

It'll be interesting to see how many of these "vulnerables" keep their seats.

Also, the above is actually a sidebar link from this main article. More cool sidebar links there, including some nice rollover maps detailing the roll calls.

Bonus fun fact: one of the Aye votes? Bill Owens (NY-23).

Hat tip to TBogg, who focuses on another aspect.

Lyle 11-09-2009 08:35 AM

Re: He Had No Choice
 
I've seen alot of the stupid responses about Cao already. Hopefully, these fools will come to their senses. Much like progressives should when they yell and scream at Blue Dogs.

Both sides have their bigots.

claymisher 11-09-2009 12:27 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TwinSwords (Post 137019)
Just so you know, I'm not expressing ideological solidarity with the Blue Dogs. I've probably lambasted them more than anyone else around here. Check out the Specter thread for starters, when I complained bitterly that adding a conservative Republican to the Democratic Party wasn't my idea of a victory.

I'm just making the non-controversial and wholly obvious point that sometimes caucuses with large majorities can let the members in more marginal districts vote in ways that are less likely to cost them their seats. Just plain obvious.

Obama is definitely correct that the R's are going to go after them no matter what. I was actually quite pleased to hear Obama say it, because it suggests that he knows it's true of him, too. Until now I had wondered if he realized that they were out for blood and would relent at nothing. His message to the Dem Reps proves he understands this.

Still, what the Republican opponents do is different from what voters do. There may be (speculation alert) some voters in some of those 39 districts who vote for the D over the R because of their vote on HCR.

Yeah, I'm with you. The blue dogs just drive me crazy though. I don't know how having no allies helps you. Maybe they think the endorsement from the editorial board of the Dickville Daily is worth it.

EK has an informative take on it. More like 13 against than 39 really:

Quote:

The hard question to answer, however, is whether there were 39 Democratic defections or 39 Democrats who voted against the bill. Because within that 39 are some Democrats who were solidly against the legislation, but also some vulnerable or conservative Democrats who would have voted for the bill if Pelosi had needed their vote.

You saw the difference between the two groups a few minutes before the final vote. At almost 11 p.m., Eric Cantor (R-Va.) raised a "motion to recommit with instructions." A longer explanation of that parliamentary maneuver is here, but for the moment, think of it as the House's version of a filibuster. If it succeeded, health care would've been thrown back to the committee. It failed. And not by a slim 220 votes. A solid 244 Democrats joined three Republicans (including, interestingly, Ron Paul) to defeat the GOP's effort to stall the bill. Only 13 Democrats defected, suggesting that fairly few of the Democratic "no" votes were out to doom the legislation.

One of the other explanations for the number of Democratic defectors is that a certain percentage of Democrats would like to vote for health-care reform but didn't want to vote for this bill. Most believe that the Senate will pass a more conservative bill with a smaller public option, tighter language on immigrants, no surtax on income, and no employer mandate, among other modifications to the more controversial elements of the House's bill. They also believe that the final bill will look more like the Senate bill than the House bill. If that proves true, they'd prefer to vote against the initial House bill so they're not attacked for supporting policies that don't survive into the final legislation. After all, if you don't think an employer mandate will be in the final bill, why anger local businesses by casting a symbolic vote for one?
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezr...r_health-.html

bjkeefe 11-09-2009 03:01 PM

Re: devils in blue dresses
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by claymisher (Post 137135)
Yeah, I'm with you. The blue dogs just drive me crazy though. I don't know how having no allies helps you. Maybe they think the endorsement from the editorial board of the Dickville Daily is worth it.

EK has an informative take on it. More like 13 against than 39 really:

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezr...r_health-.html

Thanks for that, clay. The news about the vote tallies breaking the "filibuster" was instructive. Interesting also that three Republicans voted to defeat the stalling maneuver.

popcorn_karate 11-09-2009 05:20 PM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by bjkeefe (Post 136945)
I was wondering last night whether any of the Dems voted against it because of more principled reasons. Turns out this is true for at least one: Dennis Kucinich.

Kucinich makes great points. if this obomination (hehehe couldn't resist) of a bill ends up having individual mandates for private insurance - then this should be a day of mourning for progressives, not celebration.

bjkeefe 11-09-2009 05:25 PM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by popcorn_karate (Post 137187)
Kucinich makes great points. if this obomination (hehehe couldn't resist) of a bill ends up having individual mandates for private insurance - then this should be a day of mourning for progressives, not celebration.

I dunno. I haven't looked at the details closely enough to be sure (in large part because I think lots will change once the Senate and House go to conference), but my sense is that this may well be a case where we shouldn't let the perfect be the enemy of the good. I think we would spend the rest of eternity waiting in vain for the sort of health care/health insurance reform you and I would ideally like if we tried to get it all in one fell swoop. There is just too much money opposing any sort of reform, and there are too many people willing to buy into whatever FUD this money pays to broadcast.

bjkeefe 11-09-2009 05:42 PM

Say it with pictures
 
Jake Taplin (via Attaturk):

Quote:

President Obama is going to speak to Congress on Wednesday about Health Care Reform. He should start with this chart and simply ask, "Will everyone who thinks this system is working please stand up?"

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/...ESSONS-web.jpg
(Original image link)

Wonderment 11-09-2009 06:49 PM

Re: Go Nancy, Go!
 
Quote:

Kucinich makes great points. if this obomination (hehehe couldn't resist) of a bill ends up having individual mandates for private insurance - then this should be a day of mourning for progressives, not celebration.
I supported Dennis Kucinich for president until Barack won the nomination. He does make great points, and a lot of us feel that this bill will not come remotely close to providing the kind of healthcare reform we need, and it may even be counterproductive (enabling premiums to continue to soar).

I'm still happy it passed, however, as opposed to being defeated by the Republicans. It's the most that could have been wrung out of this Congress, and we have to hope it's a first step toward significant reform. Also, a loss here for Obama might have been catastrophic for his presidency, leading to a Repub. takeover in 2012 and 2014, which would be very bad outcomes.


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